Think and Save the World

Why Economic Sanctions Are Civilizational Shame Weaponized

· 10 min read

1. What Sanctions Actually Do

Let's be precise about the mechanism before we get to the morality.

Economic sanctions are restrictions imposed by one country (or a coalition of countries) on another country's ability to trade, access financial systems, import goods, export goods, or participate in international institutions. They range from targeted financial sanctions on specific individuals and entities, to comprehensive embargoes that effectively cut a country off from the global economy.

The stated theory of change is: impose economic pain on a country until its government changes behavior or is pressured into change by its own people. Sometimes the goal is regime collapse. Sometimes it's negotiating leverage. Sometimes it's simply signaling disapproval to the international community.

The actual observed effects, documented across dozens of cases, are:

On civilian populations: Healthcare systems deteriorate. Medicine becomes scarce or unaffordable. Food supply chains destabilize. Unemployment rises sharply. Currencies collapse. Brain drain accelerates as professionals emigrate. The people least able to cope — the poor, the elderly, children, the chronically ill — suffer most severely and most immediately.

On governments: Leaders of heavily sanctioned regimes typically consolidate power, not lose it. They control whatever foreign currency reserves exist. They control distribution of scarce resources. Scarcity becomes a tool of political control. The Iranian government, the North Korean government, the Maduro government in Venezuela — none of these has been weakened by sanctions in any meaningful sense. Most have become more entrenched. Sanctions give them a compelling external enemy to blame for internal failures, which is politically useful.

On the stated goals: A 2019 comprehensive study by the Peterson Institute for International Economics analyzed over 200 cases of sanctions across the twentieth century and found a success rate of approximately 30%, and that number drops sharply for the most comprehensive sanctions regimes. The cases that "worked" were mostly partial successes involving limited goals against relatively small or trade-dependent targets. The idea that comprehensive sanctions on major regimes drive behavioral change is not supported by evidence. It is a fantasy maintained because sanctions are politically cheap to impose.

2. The Iraq Case Study

The 1990s Iraq sanctions deserve particular scrutiny because they are among the most extensively studied, and because they produced a moral crisis that was later quietly buried.

After the Gulf War, the United Nations imposed comprehensive sanctions on Iraq under UN Security Council Resolution 661. The stated goal was to pressure Saddam Hussein's government into compliance with weapons inspections and reparations demands.

The sanctions were extraordinarily comprehensive. Iraq could not import almost anything without Security Council approval, including spare parts for water treatment facilities, medical equipment, and agricultural inputs. The oil-for-food program, introduced in 1995, was supposed to allow limited oil sales to fund food and medicine, but was inadequate and riddled with corruption.

The results were catastrophic. By the mid-1990s, UNICEF and other organizations were documenting severe child malnutrition, collapse of the healthcare system, and mass mortality from preventable diseases. A 1999 UNICEF study estimated that under-5 mortality had roughly doubled from pre-sanctions levels, implying hundreds of thousands of excess child deaths attributable to the sanctions.

In 1996, when U.S. Secretary of State Madeleine Albright was asked in a 60 Minutes interview whether the deaths of half a million Iraqi children were "worth it," she answered: "We think the price is worth it." It is one of the most revealing statements in modern diplomatic history — not because it was uniquely brutal, but because it articulated aloud the logic that operates silently in every sanctions policy.

Saddam Hussein was not destabilized by these sanctions. He remained in power until the 2003 invasion. The people who died were not his decision-makers. They were ordinary Iraqis who had no more control over their government than any citizen in any authoritarian state has.

3. The Shame Logic at Civilizational Scale

Law 0 is about what happens when human beings encounter failure, error, and transgression. The question it asks is: do you respond with shame (which attacks personhood) or with accountability (which addresses the specific act while preserving the person's capacity to change)?

Nations do not have personhoods in the way individuals do. But they contain people who do. And the logic of sanctions is precisely the logic of shame applied at scale.

Shame logic operates through exclusion and deprivation. It says: you are wrong, and so you will be cut off from the community, from resources, from participation, until you are sufficiently degraded to comply or collapse. It does not engage. It does not negotiate. It withdraws.

Compare this to accountability logic, which says: you have done something harmful. Here is what you specifically must do to address it. Here are the people you have harmed. Here is what restitution looks like. We will stay engaged until the harm is remedied, because we are not trying to destroy you — we are trying to stop the harm.

The difference is enormous. One approach uses suffering as the mechanism. The other uses clarity and consequence as the mechanism.

Nations find sanctions attractive for the same reason individuals find shame-based punishment attractive: it requires no relationship. You don't have to sit across the table from the person you're punishing. You don't have to engage with their reasoning or their grievances. You don't have to do the difficult work of diplomacy, which involves listening to things you'd rather not hear and making your own concessions. You just impose the sanction and wait.

This is civilizational avoidance. It is the foreign policy equivalent of refusing to speak to someone who hurt you — while raiding their refrigerator and cutting off their income.

4. The Moral Architecture of Collective Punishment

There is a principle in international humanitarian law that has been developed over a century of trying to make war less catastrophic: collective punishment is prohibited. You cannot punish a civilian population for the acts of combatants or their government. Article 33 of the Fourth Geneva Convention is explicit: "No protected person may be punished for an offense he or she has not personally committed."

Economic sanctions, as practiced, violate the spirit of this principle — and often the letter. The justification used is that sanctions are not "armed conflict" and therefore Geneva Convention protections don't apply. But this is legalism, not morality. The practical effect of comprehensive sanctions — civilians dying from lack of medicine and food — is indistinguishable in its mechanism from siege warfare, which is explicitly condemned under international law.

The International Committee of the Red Cross has repeatedly raised concerns about the humanitarian impacts of sanctions. UN Special Rapporteurs have written extensively on sanctions as potential violations of the human right to food, health, and an adequate standard of living. These concerns are noted and then largely ignored, because sanctions serve the interests of powerful states and powerful states control the international system.

What we have, then, is a legal architecture that condemns bombing civilians but permits starving them, provided the mechanism is economic rather than military. This distinction cannot survive moral scrutiny. It survives political scrutiny because it is convenient for powerful nations.

5. Targeted Sanctions: A Partial Answer

The recognition that comprehensive sanctions primarily hurt civilians has led to the development of "targeted" or "smart" sanctions — measures aimed at specific individuals, entities, and sectors. Asset freezes on government officials. Travel bans on decision-makers. Restrictions on arms exports and luxury goods. Exclusion from financial systems for specific banks.

This is a genuine improvement. Targeted sanctions can impose real costs on the people who actually make decisions without necessarily devastating civilian populations. The EU and U.S. regimes targeting specific Russian officials and oligarchs after the 2022 invasion of Ukraine operated on this logic.

But targeted sanctions have their own limitations. The people targeted — wealthy officials and their networks — are among the most capable of evading them. Offshore structures, intermediaries, alternative financial systems, and simple evasion are readily available to the powerful. The sanctions become a reputational measure more than a material one: your name is on a list, which matters for your ego and your ability to travel to certain countries, but your actual access to resources may be relatively unaffected.

There is also the question of what targeted sanctions are actually targeting. When financial systems of entire sectors are cut off — as happened with Russian banking — the line between "targeted" and "comprehensive" blurs. Russia's citizens felt the impact of those measures in the devaluation of the ruble, rising inflation, and restricted access to foreign goods, even if the explicit intent was to target the government and oligarchy.

Targeted sanctions are better. They are not sufficient to make sanctions morally coherent as a policy tool.

6. What Accountability Without Collective Punishment Looks Like

If sanctions are the shame-based tool, what is the accountability-based alternative?

First: precision of consequence. Hold specifically accountable the individuals who made specific decisions. This means international criminal law — the International Criminal Court, special tribunals, asset recovery mechanisms that can trace specific flows of criminally obtained wealth to specific individuals. These tools exist and are chronically underfunded and politically under-supported precisely because powerful nations don't want them applied to themselves or their allies.

Second: targeted economic measures without civilian impact. Restrict the arms trade. Block specific luxury imports that benefit specifically the ruling class. Freeze assets proven to belong to named individuals in named jurisdictions. These are meaningful without starving children.

Third: genuine diplomatic engagement. Sanctions are often used to avoid diplomacy — to be seen as "doing something" without the difficulty of sitting across a table from a government you despise. But diplomacy, even with repugnant governments, is how conflicts actually get resolved. The U.S. and Soviet Union negotiated through the entire Cold War. The Oslo Accords happened because parties with deep mutual antagonism decided to engage. Iran's nuclear deal — imperfect as it was — happened through sustained, difficult diplomatic engagement.

Fourth: support for internal change agents. Civil society organizations, journalists, opposition politicians, and ordinary citizens who are working within sanctioned countries to address their government's behavior often find that comprehensive sanctions undermine their work. They suffer alongside the general population and lose credibility as agents of change because they are associated with the external powers imposing the pain. Targeted support for people doing internal accountability work is often more effective than external pressure that unifies populations behind their governments.

7. The Civilizational Stakes

Here is the claim this article is making at the largest scale: a civilization that treats collective punishment as an acceptable policy tool cannot claim to believe in human dignity.

Not because the statement is idealistic. Because it is logically inconsistent. You cannot say every person matters and also say that the deaths of Iraqi children from preventable disease are an acceptable cost for containing Saddam Hussein. You cannot say human dignity is non-negotiable and also impose measures you know will cause mass civilian suffering. The contradiction is not subtle.

If we governed at the civilization scale the way Law 0 suggests we should govern ourselves — recognizing that every person is human, that shame-based punishment degrades without healing, that accountability requires precision and engagement — our foreign policy toolkit would look fundamentally different.

Sanctions would not be the tool of first, second, or even third resort. They would be the tool of precise, last-resort accountability — targeted at decision-makers, designed to minimize civilian harm, and paired with sustained diplomatic engagement aimed at resolution rather than capitulation.

This is achievable. It is not utopian. It requires political will rather than a change in human nature. The political will is the hard part. It is harder than imposing sanctions, because it requires actually engaging with people and governments you'd rather just punish from a distance.

But the distance is the problem. The distance is exactly what shame-based punishment requires, and exactly what accountability-based engagement makes impossible. You cannot hold someone accountable while refusing to look at them. You cannot build peace while maintaining strategic distance. You cannot end cycles of resentment and retaliation while continuing to collectively punish people for choices their governments made.

The civilization that understands this — that does the harder work of targeted accountability and sustained engagement rather than comfortable collective punishment — would be measurably less violent, measurably more stable, and measurably more aligned with what it claims to believe.

Exercises

1. Find a current major sanctions regime. Look up what percentage of that country's population had any role in the decisions that prompted the sanctions. Look up what documented impacts those sanctions have had on civilian health and economic wellbeing. Ask yourself: is this accountability or collective punishment?

2. Consider a personal experience of being cut off — silenced, excluded, economically pressured — as a form of discipline or punishment. What did it teach you? Did it change your behavior in the desired way, or did it produce resentment, entrenchment, or compliance without genuine change?

3. Identify a geopolitical conflict you follow. What would genuine diplomatic engagement look like — engagement that didn't require either side to capitulate first? Who are the internal actors in the sanctioned country who might be supported rather than inadvertently harmed?

---

References

1. Hufbauer, Gary Clyde, Jeffrey J. Schott, Kimberly Ann Elliott, and Barbara Oegg. Economic Sanctions Reconsidered. Peterson Institute for International Economics, 2007. 2. Mueller, John, and Karl Mueller. "Sanctions of Mass Destruction." Foreign Affairs, 1999. 3. UNICEF. "Iraq Surveys Show 'Humanitarian Emergency.'" UNICEF Press Release, 1999. 4. International Committee of the Red Cross. Humanitarian Impact of Economic Sanctions, 2020. 5. UN Human Rights Council. Reports of the Special Rapporteur on the Negative Impact of Unilateral Coercive Measures, 2015–2024. 6. Fourth Geneva Convention, Article 33. International Committee of the Red Cross, 1949. 7. Weiss, Thomas G. Humanitarian Business. Polity Press, 2013. 8. Gordon, Joy. Invisible War: The United States and the Iraq Sanctions. Harvard University Press, 2010. 9. Biersteker, Thomas, Sue Eckert, and Marcos Tourinho (eds.). Targeted Sanctions: The Impacts and Effectiveness of United Nations Action. Cambridge University Press, 2016. 10. Peksen, Dursun. "Better or Worse? The Effect of Economic Sanctions on Human Rights." Journal of Peace Research, 2009. 11. Galtung, Johan. "On the Effects of International Economic Sanctions." World Politics, 1967. 12. Albright, Madeleine. Madam Secretary: A Memoir. Miramax Books, 2003.

Cite this:

Comments

·

Sign in to join the conversation.

Be the first to share how this landed.